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The FAILED PseudoScience of "GloBULLSHIT Warming". Climate models fail in key test region


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The researchers found that when compared to observations, almost every CMIP5 model fails, no matter whether the multidecadal variability is assumed to be forced or internal.

Screenshot-2021-06-07-at-12.17.38-1024x5

The basic questions for climate models is whether they realistically simulate observations, and to what extent can future climate change be predicted? It’s an important concept as political and environmental action is predicated upon it.


A new paper by Timothy DelSole of George Mason University and Michael Tippett of Columbia University looks into this by attempting to quantify the consistency between climate models and observations using a novel statistical approach. It involves using a multivariate statistical framework whose usefulness has been demonstrated in other fields such as economics and statistics. Technically, they are asking if two time series such as observations and climate model output come from the same statistical source.

 

https://www.thegwpf.com/climate-models-fail-in-key-test-region/

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17 minutes ago, MidnightMax said:

The researchers found that when compared to observations, almost every CMIP5 model fails, no matter whether the multidecadal variability is assumed to be forced or internal.

Screenshot-2021-06-07-at-12.17.38-1024x5

The basic questions for climate models is whether they realistically simulate observations, and to what extent can future climate change be predicted? It’s an important concept as political and environmental action is predicated upon it.


A new paper by Timothy DelSole of George Mason University and Michael Tippett of Columbia University looks into this by attempting to quantify the consistency between climate models and observations using a novel statistical approach. It involves using a multivariate statistical framework whose usefulness has been demonstrated in other fields such as economics and statistics. Technically, they are asking if two time series such as observations and climate model output come from the same statistical source.

 

https://www.thegwpf.com/climate-models-fail-in-key-test-region/

There is absolutely zero climate modeling pertaining to earth.  The shit-studies the greens do have no scientific basis and are nothing more than propaganda.  In order for there to be a somewhat useful model of changes to the world's climate, there would need to be a grid of sensors placed around the Earth's sphere along longitudinal and latitudinal lines, as well as up to a height of 30,000 feet.  Also, it would need to be monitored over a period of decades together with the sun's radiation output.   This would be a massive undertaking, likely beyond our capabilities at the moment. 

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Just now, Skans said:

There is absolutely zero climate modeling pertaining to earth.  The shit-studies the greens do have no scientific basis and are nothing more than propaganda.  In order for there to be a somewhat useful model of changes to the world's climate, there would need to be a grid of sensors placed around the Earth's sphere along longitudinal and latitudinal lines, as well as up to a height of 30,000 feet.

 

What you fail to understand it seems is that GOVERNMENT uses these FAILED MODEL "predictions" to SHAPE POLICY!!!

 

They can't even show you ONE SINGLE PREDICTION that has ever happened, but they keep trucking like these MODELS were a religious doctrine.

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1 minute ago, MidnightMax said:

 

What you fail to understand it seems is that GOVERNMENT uses these FAILED MODEL "predictions" to SHAPE POLICY!!!

I completely understand this.  It's bullshit based upon bullshit "modeling".

1 minute ago, MidnightMax said:

 

They can't even show you ONE SINGLE PREDICTION that has ever happened, but they keep trucking like these MODELS were a religious doctrine.

That's right.

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And another moronic rightwingnut circlejerk over their FAILED BULLSHIT PseudoScience of "Global Warming Denial". 

 

This time repeating some fraudulent bullshit from a thoroughly debunked coal industry sponsored denier cult propaganda outlet called The Global Warming Policy Foundation, trying vainly to dispute the proven accuracy of the global climate models that confirm human caused global warming.

 

In the real world.....

Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right

NASA

Jan 9, 2020

 

The hallmark of good science is the ability to make testable predictions, and climate models have been making predictions since the 1970s. How reliable have they been? A new evaluation of global climate models used to project Earth’s future global average surface temperatures over the past half-century answers that question: most of the models have been quite accurate. In a study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, a research team led by Zeke Hausfather of the University of California, Berkeley, conducted a systematic evaluation of the performance of past climate models. The team compared 17 increasingly sophisticated model projections of global average temperature developed between 1970 and 2007, including some originally developed by NASA, with actual changes in global temperature observed through the end of 2017. The observational temperature data came from multiple sources, including NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP) time series, an estimate of global surface temperature change. The results: 10 of the model projections closely matched observations. Moreover, after accounting for differences between modeled and actual changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other factors that drive climate, the number increased to 14. The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections. “The results of this study of past climate models bolster scientists’ confidence that both they as well as today’s more advanced climate models are skillfully projecting global warming,” said study co-author Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies in New York. “This research could help resolve public confusion around the performance of past climate modeling efforts.

 

 

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7 minutes ago, TruePatriot said:

And another moronic rightwingnut circlejerk over their FAILED BULLSHIT PseudoScience of "Global Warming Denial". 

 

This time repeating some fraudulent bullshit from a thoroughly debunked coal industry sponsored denier cult propaganda outlet called The Global Warming Policy Foundation, trying vainly to dispute the proven accuracy of the global climate models that confirm human caused global warming.

 

In the real world.....

Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right

NASA

Jan 9, 2020

 

The hallmark of good science is the ability to make testable predictions, and climate models have been making predictions since the 1970s. How reliable have they been? A new evaluation of global climate models used to project Earth’s future global average surface temperatures over the past half-century answers that question: most of the models have been quite accurate. In a study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, a research team led by Zeke Hausfather of the University of California, Berkeley, conducted a systematic evaluation of the performance of past climate models. The team compared 17 increasingly sophisticated model projections of global average temperature developed between 1970 and 2007, including some originally developed by NASA, with actual changes in global temperature observed through the end of 2017. The observational temperature data came from multiple sources, including NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP) time series, an estimate of global surface temperature change. The results: 10 of the model projections closely matched observations. Moreover, after accounting for differences between modeled and actual changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other factors that drive climate, the number increased to 14. The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections. “The results of this study of past climate models bolster scientists’ confidence that both they as well as today’s more advanced climate models are skillfully projecting global warming,” said study co-author Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies in New York. “This research could help resolve public confusion around the performance of past climate modeling efforts.

 

 

1984_for_alan.jpg

EPA Disappears More Data Inconvenient To Their Climate Change Narrative

Human Events Staff | Jun 1, 2021 | News | 16 

EPA Disappears More Data Inconvenient to their Climate Change Narrative

EPA deleted its earlier web page, Climate Change Indicators: High and Low Temperature, and replaced it with a new one, Climate Realism reports. Previously, they showed the U.S. Heat Wave Index dating back to 1895.

It is important to note that on this page, data showed drastic spikes in temperatures during the 1930s, nicknamed the “dust bowl” period.

The “dust bowl” years of 1930-1936 were some of the hottest summers on record, specifically across the Plains, Upper Midwest and Great Lake States. These record temperatures were also deadly, with around 5,000 directly related deaths.

The chart has now been replaced by a new one, which “disappears” any notion of significant temperature spikes in the 30’s. The EPA also added another new page, Climate Change Indicators: Heat Waves, that doesn’t even contain the “dust bowl” years. Instead, the report starts in the 1960s.

The page also makes some extremely misleading statements, like this one:

“The Earth’s climate is changing. Temperatures are rising, snow and rainfall patterns are shifting, and more extreme climate events like heavy rainstorms and record high temperatures are already happening. Many of these observed changes are linked to the rising levels of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in our atmosphere, caused by human activities.”

The post POOF? EPA Disappears More Data Inconvenient to their Climate Change Narrative appeared first on Human Events.

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11 minutes ago, TruePatriot said:

And another moronic rightwingnut circlejerk over their FAILED BULLSHIT PseudoScience of "Global Warming Denial". 

 

This time repeating some fraudulent bullshit from a thoroughly debunked coal industry sponsored denier cult propaganda outlet called The Global Warming Policy Foundation, trying vainly to dispute the proven accuracy of the global climate models that confirm human caused global warming.

 

In the real world.....

Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right

NASA

Jan 9, 2020

 

The hallmark of good science is the ability to make testable predictions, and climate models have been making predictions since the 1970s. How reliable have they been? A new evaluation of global climate models used to project Earth’s future global average surface temperatures over the past half-century answers that question: most of the models have been quite accurate. In a study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, a research team led by Zeke Hausfather of the University of California, Berkeley, conducted a systematic evaluation of the performance of past climate models. The team compared 17 increasingly sophisticated model projections of global average temperature developed between 1970 and 2007, including some originally developed by NASA, with actual changes in global temperature observed through the end of 2017. The observational temperature data came from multiple sources, including NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP) time series, an estimate of global surface temperature change. The results: 10 of the model projections closely matched observations. Moreover, after accounting for differences between modeled and actual changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other factors that drive climate, the number increased to 14. The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections. “The results of this study of past climate models bolster scientists’ confidence that both they as well as today’s more advanced climate models are skillfully projecting global warming,” said study co-author Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies in New York. “This research could help resolve public confusion around the performance of past climate modeling efforts.

 

 

1984_for_alan.jpg

The Truth About Climate Change
What's really going on?

 

Man-made “climate change” is largely a myth promoted by politicians to scare the public into accepting a vast expansion of government to supposedly stop “global warming.”

 

Global warming is a manufactured problem played up by the government to instigate a public reaction – fear – the government then exploits to offer a predetermined solution: the expansion of government at the public’s expense.

 

This strategy, now known as the Hegelian Dialectic, has been used successfully by politicians for millennia to expand government, which can only grow at the expense of individual liberties.

 

Today “global warming” is used as the bogey man because it allows the United Nations to scare the world’s population into believing “man-made climate change” is too big of a threat for their country to handle alone and thus it can only be “defeated” through the expansion of the U.N. at the expense of their nation’s sovereignty.

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34 minutes ago, TruePatriot said:

And another moronic rightwingnut circlejerk over their FAILED BULLSHIT PseudoScience of "Global Warming Denial". 

 

This time repeating some fraudulent bullshit from a thoroughly debunked coal industry sponsored denier cult propaganda outlet called The Global Warming Policy Foundation, trying vainly to dispute the proven accuracy of the global climate models that confirm human caused global warming.

 

In the real world.....

Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right

NASA

Jan 9, 2020

 

The hallmark of good science is the ability to make testable predictions, and climate models have been making predictions since the 1970s. How reliable have they been? A new evaluation of global climate models used to project Earth’s future global average surface temperatures over the past half-century answers that question: most of the models have been quite accurate. In a study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, a research team led by Zeke Hausfather of the University of California, Berkeley, conducted a systematic evaluation of the performance of past climate models. The team compared 17 increasingly sophisticated model projections of global average temperature developed between 1970 and 2007, including some originally developed by NASA, with actual changes in global temperature observed through the end of 2017. The observational temperature data came from multiple sources, including NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP) time series, an estimate of global surface temperature change. The results: 10 of the model projections closely matched observations. Moreover, after accounting for differences between modeled and actual changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other factors that drive climate, the number increased to 14. The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections. “The results of this study of past climate models bolster scientists’ confidence that both they as well as today’s more advanced climate models are skillfully projecting global warming,” said study co-author Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies in New York. “This research could help resolve public confusion around the performance of past climate modeling efforts.

 

 

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^^^ Anyone STUPID ENOUGH to believe the myth of "anthropogenic global warming" is stupid enough to be a liberal.

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5 hours ago, TruePatriot said:

And another moronic rightwingnut circlejerk over their FAILED BULLSHIT PseudoScience of "Global Warming Denial". 

 

 

Hey SHITSTAIN, here's your chance to be a HERO!!!

NAME ONE PREDICTION YOUR GLOBULLSHIT WARMERS HAVE MADE THAT ACTUALLY CAME TRUE!!!

Just one.

 

NO NEED to hold my breath for your answer!!!


YOU WON'T FIND ONE!!!

ROFLMAO!!!
 

 

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6 hours ago, TBHWT said:

EPA Disappears More Data Inconvenient To Their Climate Change Narrative

Human Events Staff | Jun 1, 2021 | News | 16 

EPA deleted its earlier web page, Climate Change Indicators: High and Low Temperature, and replaced it with a new one, Climate Realism reports. Previously, they showed the U.S. Heat Wave Index dating back to 1895.

It is important to note that on this page, data showed drastic spikes in temperatures during the 1930s, nicknamed the “dust bowl” period.

The “dust bowl” years of 1930-1936 were some of the hottest summers on record, specifically across the Plains, Upper Midwest and Great Lake States. These record temperatures were also deadly, with around 5,000 directly related deaths.

The chart has now been replaced by a new one, which “disappears” any notion of significant temperature spikes in the 30’s. The EPA also added another new page, Climate Change Indicators: Heat Waves, that doesn’t even contain the “dust bowl” years. Instead, the report starts in the 1960s.

The page also makes some extremely misleading statements, like this one:

“The Earth’s climate is changing. Temperatures are rising, snow and rainfall patterns are shifting, and more extreme climate events like heavy rainstorms and record high temperatures are already happening. Many of these observed changes are linked to the rising levels of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in our atmosphere, caused by human activities.”

The post POOF? EPA Disappears More Data Inconvenient to their Climate Change Narrative appeared first on Human Events.

 

This is the kind of irrelevant and fraudulent bullshit that global warming denier cultists like to throw out to try to muddy the waters. This thread is about the idiotic denier cult denial of the reality of the amazing accuracy of the scientific climate models. Which has nothing to do with this phony nonsense.

 

In reality, the EPA did not "disappear any notion of significant temperature spikes in the 30’s". Nor did they erase the "U.S. Heat Wave Index dating back to 1895". In reality, TheBigHideousWitlessTurd's source is, OF COURSE, totally corrupt and fraudulent. As is his dementd grasp on reality.

 

From the actual EPA Climate Indicators page which also contains a link to the US Annual Heat Wave Index - 1895 - 2020.......

Key Points

  • Heat waves are occurring more often than they used to in major cities across the United States. Their frequency has increased steadily, from an average of two heat waves per year during the 1960s to six per year during the 2010s (see Figure 1).
  •  In recent years, the average heat wave in major U.S. urban areas has been about four days long. This is about a day longer than the average heat wave in the 1960s (see Figure 1).
  • The average heat wave season across the 50 cities in this indicator is 47 days longer now than it was in the 1960s (see Figure 1). Heat waves that occur earlier in the spring or later in the fall can catch people off-guard and increase exposure to the health risks associated with heat waves.
  • Heat waves have become more intense over time. During the 1960s, the average heat wave across the 50 cities in Figures 1 and 2 was 2.0°F above the local 85th percentile threshold. During the 2010s, the average heat wave has been 2.5°F above the local threshold (see Figure 1).
  • Of the 50 metropolitan areas in this indicator, 46 experienced a statistically significant increase in heat wave frequency between the 1960s and 2010s. Heat wave duration has increased significantly in 26 of these locations, the length of the heat wave season in 44, and intensity in 16 (see Figure 2).
  • Longer-term records show that heat waves in the 1930s remain the most severe in recorded U.S. history (see Figure 3). The spike in Figure 3 reflects extreme, persistent heat waves in the Great Plains region during a period known as the “Dust Bowl.” Poor land use practices and many years of intense drought contributed to these heat waves by depleting soil moisture and reducing the moderating effects of evaporation.6

 

 

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21 hours ago, TruePatriot said:

 

This is the kind of irrelevant and fraudulent bullshit that global warming denier cultists like to throw out to try to muddy the waters. This thread is about the idiotic denier cult denial of the reality of the amazing accuracy of the scientific climate models. Which has nothing to do with this phony nonsense.

 

In reality, the EPA did not "disappear any notion of significant temperature spikes in the 30’s". Nor did they erase the "U.S. Heat Wave Index dating back to 1895". In reality, TheBigHideousWitlessTurd's source is, OF COURSE, totally corrupt and fraudulent. As is his dementd grasp on reality.

 

From the actual EPA Climate Indicators page which also contains a link to the US Annual Heat Wave Index - 1895 - 2020.......

Key Points

  • Heat waves are occurring more often than they used to in major cities across the United States. Their frequency has increased steadily, from an average of two heat waves per year during the 1960s to six per year during the 2010s (see Figure 1).
  •  In recent years, the average heat wave in major U.S. urban areas has been about four days long. This is about a day longer than the average heat wave in the 1960s (see Figure 1).
  • The average heat wave season across the 50 cities in this indicator is 47 days longer now than it was in the 1960s (see Figure 1). Heat waves that occur earlier in the spring or later in the fall can catch people off-guard and increase exposure to the health risks associated with heat waves.
  • Heat waves have become more intense over time. During the 1960s, the average heat wave across the 50 cities in Figures 1 and 2 was 2.0°F above the local 85th percentile threshold. During the 2010s, the average heat wave has been 2.5°F above the local threshold (see Figure 1).
  • Of the 50 metropolitan areas in this indicator, 46 experienced a statistically significant increase in heat wave frequency between the 1960s and 2010s. Heat wave duration has increased significantly in 26 of these locations, the length of the heat wave season in 44, and intensity in 16 (see Figure 2).
  • Longer-term records show that heat waves in the 1930s remain the most severe in recorded U.S. history (see Figure 3). The spike in Figure 3 reflects extreme, persistent heat waves in the Great Plains region during a period known as the “Dust Bowl.” Poor land use practices and many years of intense drought contributed to these heat waves by depleting soil moisture and reducing the moderating effects of evaporation.6

 

 


WASHINGTON, DC — Here are the top ten reasons why Congress should ignore advice to pass major legislation to combat climate change:

1 The world isn’t warming. Scientists measuring surface temperatures and atmospheric temperatures using satellites — including scientists who believe in the global warming theory —say the Earth hasn’t warmed since the Clinton Administration.


2 Anti-global warming laws hurt people. All the major legislative and regulatory proposals to combat climate change kill jobs and disproportionately hurt lower income people and minorities.


3 The U.S. already leads the world in CO2 reduction and is a great role model for others. U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions fell 12.6 percent between 2005 and 2012, thanks to technologies and conservation. Worldwide, CO2 emissions increased by 17.7 percent during the same period. Those who want the U.S. to set a good example should wake up and realize: we already are!


4 Global warming climate models don’t work. Since 1979, over 96 percent of models created by scientists predicted more future warming than eventually took place. The models, run backward, also fail to predict past temperatures. Our climate system is extremely complex, and even the world’s most knowledgeable scientists don’t yet fully understand it.


5 Claims that 98 percent of scientists endorse the global warming theory are propaganda. To get to 98 percent, activists include every scientist who believes the Earth has warmed even a little, and that humans have played even a small part, but activists use the 98 percent figure as if it represents only scientists who believe warming is catastrophically dangerous and overwhelmingly human-caused. Since even “skeptic” scientists believe the Earth has warmed somewhat since the 1800s, when the Little Ice Age ended, and almost everyone believes humans have played at least a small role in warming by building cities and using energy, that means skeptic scientists are included in the 98 percent figure, which then is used as “evidence” that skeptic scientists are wrong.


6 The IPCC is a political, not scientific, body. The IPCC is a United Nations agency that scientists have quit in protest after governments re-wrote their work to fit an agenda. One Harvard professor recently said the IPCC’s “summary for policymakers” should actually be called the “summary by policymakers” because the policymakers actually write it for themselves. One IPCC meeting he attended had two scientists and 45-50 government officials at work on the summary document.


7 Global warming believers change their predictions. As their temperature predictions have not come true, activists have desperately started blaming global warming for hurricanes, tornadoes and even cold weather. But climate has natural variations, hurricanes and tornadoes have not increased, and snow and colder winters don’t prove global warming. When former vice president Al Gore accepted the Nobel Peace Prize for his preaching and moviemaking about global warming, he claimed in his acceptance speech that the Arctic would be ice-free by now. It isn’t even close.


8 Current sea ice levels prove nothing. While arctic sea ice levels are below average, Antarctic sea ice levels are above average, as are global sea ice levels.


9 Environmental groups give counterproductive advice. While claiming global warming is a crisis, major environmental groups paradoxically oppose the major energy sources that can reduce our CO2 emissions, such as nuclear power, hydropower and fracking, and seek laws to limit their use.


10 Politicians are unreliable leaders. After the Clinton-Gore Administration signed the Kyoto global warming treaty, it never presented it to the Senate for ratification. After the Democrat-led House of Representatives passed a “cap-and-trade” bill to fight global warming in 2009, the Senate, also led by Democrats, never even voted on it. These politicians claim global warming is a crisis, but they don’t act as if they believe it themselves.

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4 hours ago, slideman said:

Your salmon runs in California are going to go extinct this year.

No global warming at all

Idiot

https://casalmon.org/

CA is run by a bunch of Nitwits, the whole state is falling apart. People moving out is a blessing. 

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21 hours ago, TruePatriot said:

 

This is the kind of irrelevant and fraudulent bullshit that global warming denier cultists like to throw out to try to muddy the waters. This thread is about the idiotic denier cult denial of the reality of the amazing accuracy of the scientific climate models. Which has nothing to do with this phony nonsense.

 

In reality, the EPA did not "disappear any notion of significant temperature spikes in the 30’s". Nor did they erase the "U.S. Heat Wave Index dating back to 1895". In reality, TheBigHideousWitlessTurd's source is, OF COURSE, totally corrupt and fraudulent. As is his dementd grasp on reality.

 

From the actual EPA Climate Indicators page which also contains a link to the US Annual Heat Wave Index - 1895 - 2020.......

Key Points

  • Heat waves are occurring more often than they used to in major cities across the United States. Their frequency has increased steadily, from an average of two heat waves per year during the 1960s to six per year during the 2010s (see Figure 1).
  •  In recent years, the average heat wave in major U.S. urban areas has been about four days long. This is about a day longer than the average heat wave in the 1960s (see Figure 1).
  • The average heat wave season across the 50 cities in this indicator is 47 days longer now than it was in the 1960s (see Figure 1). Heat waves that occur earlier in the spring or later in the fall can catch people off-guard and increase exposure to the health risks associated with heat waves.
  • Heat waves have become more intense over time. During the 1960s, the average heat wave across the 50 cities in Figures 1 and 2 was 2.0°F above the local 85th percentile threshold. During the 2010s, the average heat wave has been 2.5°F above the local threshold (see Figure 1).
  • Of the 50 metropolitan areas in this indicator, 46 experienced a statistically significant increase in heat wave frequency between the 1960s and 2010s. Heat wave duration has increased significantly in 26 of these locations, the length of the heat wave season in 44, and intensity in 16 (see Figure 2).
  • Longer-term records show that heat waves in the 1930s remain the most severe in recorded U.S. history (see Figure 3). The spike in Figure 3 reflects extreme, persistent heat waves in the Great Plains region during a period known as the “Dust Bowl.” Poor land use practices and many years of intense drought contributed to these heat waves by depleting soil moisture and reducing the moderating effects of evaporation.6

 

 

May be an image of text that says 'Ten Countries with the Largest Reductions and Increases in CO2 Emissions (Millions of Tons), 2017 USA- Ukraine- Mexico- United Kingdom- S. Africa- Venezuela- Colombia AE- Turkmenistan- Japan- Reductions Increases S Korea- Russia Federation- Canada- Spain- Indonesia- Iran- European Union- Turkey- India- China- -40 20 -20 40 Source: BP Statistical Review ofWorld Energy June 2018 60 80 100 120 Carpe Diem ΑΞΙ'

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7 hours ago, TBHWT said:


WASHINGTON, DC — Here are the top ten lies that fossil fuel industry stooges tell to ignorant gullible morons about human caused global warming.

 

Lies that TheBigHideousWitlessTurd loves to regurgitate.

 

 

 

 

Quote

1 The world isn’t warming. Scientists measuring surface temperatures and atmospheric temperatures using satellites — including scientists who believe in the global warming theory —say the Earth hasn’t warmed since the Clinton Administration.

 

A laughable set of lies that only deceive the braindead.

 

In the real world..........     

 

2020 is now tied with 2016 as the hottest year on record, according to NASA.

 

1987_yearly_temperature_anomalies_from_1

 

Globally, 2020 was the hottest year on record, effectively tying 2016, the previous record. Overall, Earth's average temperature has risen more than 2 degrees Fahrenheit since the 1880s. Temperatures are increasing due to human activities, specifically emissions of greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide and methane.Jan 14, 2021

 

Global temperature data document a warming trend since the mid-1970s. The warmest years globally have all occurred since 2005, with the top ten being 2016, 2020, 2019, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2014, 2010, 2013 and 2005 (tied), respectively. 

(source - NOAA)

 

               

 

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On 6/8/2021 at 8:15 AM, MidnightMax said:

The researchers found that when compared to observations, almost every CMIP5 model fails, no matter whether the multidecadal variability is assumed to be forced or internal.

Screenshot-2021-06-07-at-12.17.38-1024x5

The basic questions for climate models is whether they realistically simulate observations, and to what extent can future climate change be predicted? It’s an important concept as political and environmental action is predicated upon it.


A new paper by Timothy DelSole of George Mason University and Michael Tippett of Columbia University looks into this by attempting to quantify the consistency between climate models and observations using a novel statistical approach. It involves using a multivariate statistical framework whose usefulness has been demonstrated in other fields such as economics and statistics. Technically, they are asking if two time series such as observations and climate model output come from the same statistical source.

 

https://www.thegwpf.com/climate-models-fail-in-key-test-region/

And if the models fail, it means scientists do not correctly understand the dynamic interaction of all the variables that go into climate change. 
 

 

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1 hour ago, Str8tEdge said:

And if the models fail, it means scientists do not correctly understand the dynamic interaction of all the variables that go into climate change.    

 

And if the climate models succeed at accurately forecasting and hindcasting global temperatures, as they very definately have, it means that you, once again and always, are totally full of shit, Str8Jacket. The MuddledMoron's fraudulent OP was debunked by the actual science immediately, but you are too stupid and brainwashed to have the mental ability to understand that.

 

In the real world........

 

On 6/8/2021 at 10:54 AM, TruePatriot said:

And another moronic rightwingnut circlejerk over their FAILED BULLSHIT PseudoScience of "Global Warming Denial". 

 

This time repeating some fraudulent bullshit from a thoroughly debunked coal industry sponsored denier cult propaganda outlet called The Global Warming Policy Foundation, trying vainly to dispute the proven accuracy of the global climate models that confirm human caused global warming.

 

In the real world.....

Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right

NASA

Jan 9, 2020

 

The hallmark of good science is the ability to make testable predictions, and climate models have been making predictions since the 1970s. How reliable have they been? A new evaluation of global climate models used to project Earth’s future global average surface temperatures over the past half-century answers that question: most of the models have been quite accurate. In a study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, a research team led by Zeke Hausfather of the University of California, Berkeley, conducted a systematic evaluation of the performance of past climate models. The team compared 17 increasingly sophisticated model projections of global average temperature developed between 1970 and 2007, including some originally developed by NASA, with actual changes in global temperature observed through the end of 2017. The observational temperature data came from multiple sources, including NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP) time series, an estimate of global surface temperature change. The results: 10 of the model projections closely matched observations. Moreover, after accounting for differences between modeled and actual changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other factors that drive climate, the number increased to 14. The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections. “The results of this study of past climate models bolster scientists’ confidence that both they as well as today’s more advanced climate models are skillfully projecting global warming,” said study co-author Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies in New York. “This research could help resolve public confusion around the performance of past climate modeling efforts.

 

 

1984_for_alan.jpg

 

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2 minutes ago, TruePatriot said:

 

And if the climate models succeed at accurately forecasting and hindcasting global temperatures, as they very definately have, it means that you, once again and always, are totally full of shit, Str8Jacket. The MuddledMoron's fraudulent OP was debunked by the actual science immediately, but you are too stupid and brainwashed to have the mental ability to understand that.

 

In the real world........

 

 

False. You’re trash. 

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12 hours ago, TruePatriot said:

 

Lies that TheBigHideousWitlessTurd loves to regurgitate.

 

 

 

 

 

A laughable set of lies that only deceive the braindead.

 

In the real world..........     

 

2020 is now tied with 2016 as the hottest year on record, according to NASA.

 

1987_yearly_temperature_anomalies_from_1

 

Globally, 2020 was the hottest year on record, effectively tying 2016, the previous record. Overall, Earth's average temperature has risen more than 2 degrees Fahrenheit since the 1880s. Temperatures are increasing due to human activities, specifically emissions of greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide and methane.Jan 14, 2021

 

Global temperature data document a warming trend since the mid-1970s. The warmest years globally have all occurred since 2005, with the top ten being 2016, 2020, 2019, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2014, 2010, 2013 and 2005 (tied), respectively. 

(source - NOAA)

 

               

 

Okay I see you've been brain-washed and are now getting vile. That can only lead to reality, and that is "GO FUCK YOURSELF ASSHOLE!!!!" 

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11 hours ago, Str8tEdge said:

False. You’re trash. 

 

Nope! Actually what I posted are quite true scientific facts that are recognized as such by scientists around the world. Too bad your poor retarded brain got so "trashed" by the anti-science propaganda the fossil fuel industry pushes. You are a pathetic, reality challenged denier cultist and conspiracy theory wacko.

Climate Models Got It Right on Global Warming

Even models in the 1970s accurately predicted the relationship between greenhouse gas emissions and temperature rise

 

There’s a favorite argument among doubters of mainstream climate science: Climate models overestimate the rate at which the Earth is warming. That claim surfaces time and again and is frequently based on single examples of uncertainty or cherry-picked data. Various studies have gone back and closely examined individual climate models in recent years and have generally found that they’re working pretty well. A study released yesterday has taken the exercise to the next level. The research takes a comprehensive look at all the global climate models published from the 1970s to 2007, including the models used in the first three reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. It’s always a sign that you’re onto a good project when your first thought is, ‘Why hasn’t anyone done this before?’” said lead study author Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at the University of California, Berkeley, who worked with Massachusetts Institute of Technology scientists Henri Drake and Tristan Abbott and NASA scientist Gavin Schmidt. “No one has really gone back and gathered all of the old model predictions that were in the literature, in part because climate models have changed a lot.” Most of these models are long since obsolete, replaced by far more advanced generations. And yet, most of them were spot on in their projections of how much the Earth would warm in the years after they were published in response to greenhouse gas emissions. Fourteen out of 17 models were found to be accurate.

 

......

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1 hour ago, TBHWT said:

Okay I see I've been brain-washed and I have always been extremely vile. That can only lead to reality kicking my sorry ass......and that is because I am "TheBigHideousWitlessTurd!!!!" 

 

You got that right!

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2 hours ago, rippy38 said:

They all moved to Oregon to get away from the leftists.

 

This is irrelevant to this thread........but it certainly demonstrates how massively out of touch with reality you clueless and confused rightwingnuts really are..........

 

It isn't so eas to "get away from the leftists" by moving to Oregon, numbnuts, unless you want to go to a militia enclave in the far eastern wilderness areas of the state. 

 

In reality..........

 

 Oregon leans Democratic as a state, with both U.S. senators from the Democratic party, as well as four out of Oregon's five U.S. Representatives. The Democratic candidate for president has won in Oregon in every election since 1988.

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