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Can Trump pull another 2016 upset? The data says no chance


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No he wont pull an upset ... because it wont be an upset when he destroys Biden.   Only the Liberal Media and stupid fucking Democrats think Pedo Joe has even a remote chance ... he doesn't.

To favor Democrats!   Poll 37% Dems and 21% Rep and can still only come out with a 7 point lead.

No "upset" needed.  Trump is crushing the Corpse and may run the table on him (all 57 states).  The polling shenanigans are the simplest "bandwagon" technique of propaganda designed to trick you into

2016 - The Donald Trump Presidential Election "Upset"...

... that Never Was!

 

 

"...this is a Democratic Polling Firm... this is Legit Methodology..."

- Ramone Madcow -

 

 

 

Ha!

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8 minutes ago, maineman said:

This time four years ago, I was getting a sense of impending doom.... not caused by my chronic Afib.... 

 

this year, I am feeling quite calm.  We will know in a week or two or three whether that calm was justified or not

 

You're not looking at the numbers are you?

Biden/Obama going to Minnesota to campaign tomorrow. 

Minnesota. 

 

BWAHAAHAHHAHHAAAHAHHAA

 Here’s What Early Voting Numbers Are Telling Us. “Schweikart noted that despite the Democrats’ early lead in early voting, both in vote-by-mail (VBM) and in-person early voting (IPEV), they peaked around October 16 and Republicans have been catching up—big time.”

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4 minutes ago, Golfboy said:

 

You're not looking at the numbers are you?

Biden/Obama going to Minnesota to campaign tomorrow. 

Minnesota. 

 

BWAHAAHAHHAHHAAAHAHHAA

 Here’s What Early Voting Numbers Are Telling Us. “Schweikart noted that despite the Democrats’ early lead in early voting, both in vote-by-mail (VBM) and in-person early voting (IPEV), they peaked around October 16 and Republicans have been catching up—big time.”

funnier than the clown in Nebraska?

 

lol

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13 minutes ago, maineman said:

This time four years ago, I was getting a sense of impending doom.... not caused by my chronic Afib.... 

Oh, and BTW, this is a complete and utter lie. 

I was here 4 years ago, and you were celebrating the pussy tape, and loudly proclaiming our new "Madam President" .

 

It's almost as though you think no one remembers. 

You and Slo Joe have the same affliction, don't you?

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3 minutes ago, maineman said:

funnier than the clown in Nebraska?

 

lol

He was campaigning for the Senate in Nebraska and Iowa, dumbass.  Trump has both states locked up for himself.

Slo Joe is losing Minnesota.  

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10 minutes ago, Golfboy said:

Oh, and BTW, this is a complete and utter lie. 

I was here 4 years ago, and you were celebrating the pussy tape, and loudly proclaiming our new "Madam President" .

 

It's almost as though you think no one remembers. 

You and Slo Joe have the same affliction, don't you?

This proves, beyond all doubt, what a lying sack of shit you are.  Go to my profile page.... tell me what the day was that I joined LF.

 

Then go crawl away like the fucking worm that you are.

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17 minutes ago, maineman said:

This proves, beyond all doubt, what a lying sack of shit you are.  Go to my profile page.... tell me what the day was that I joined LF.

 

Then go crawl away like the fucking worm that you are.

lol, you're right, my apologies. 

I confused you with eclectic skeptic, you both have the same talking points. 

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1 minute ago, Golfboy said:

lol, you're right, my apologies. 

I confused you with eclectic skeptic, you both have the same talking points. 

fuck you.

 

 

 

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Just now, maineman said:

fuck you.

lol.  And there is the difference between us. 

I'm a man and admit when I'm wrong. 

 

You're a pussy and will always be my bitch.

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3 minutes ago, Golfboy said:

lol.  And there is the difference between us. 

I'm a man and admit when I'm wrong. 

 

You're a pussy and will always be my bitch.

you admit when you are wrong?

 

wait...what????

 

 

hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahaah

 

yes asshole, fifty votes IS all that is needed when all senators are present and voting?

 

and how about all that crap about me and escaping to Tijuana, Mexico to avoid the statute of limitations for child molestation?

 

YOU hardly EVER admit you are wrong... and this time, it was right there on my profile so it was pretty hard for you to tap dance away from it.

 

LYING SACK OF SHIT.

 

Doxxed my daughter... called her home phone and jacked off to her voice mail message.... you should find a bus you can step out in front of.

 

 

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1 hour ago, SpyCar said:

 

I wasn't aware we had 57 states. LOL.

 

Trump-voters :rolleyes:

 

Bill

 

You are a pathetic buffoon, bill.

 

 

Ha!

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1 minute ago, calguy said:

Left the crowd freezing in Nebraska. Will they still support him now?

 

Americans ended up dying of Pneumonia - just to see Republican President Abraham Lincoln.

 

...and then you Democrat National Socialists went and assassinated him.

Lincoln_assassination_slide_c1900_-_Rest

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Blue Devil said:

 

You are a pathetic buffoon, bill.

 

 

Ha!



Thanks for this Blue Devil. Now I know not to vote for Barack Obama this year. 🤨

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4 hours ago, calguy said:

Can Trump pull another 2016 upset? The data says no chance

Five days out from the election and the stage seems set for a reset of the American experiment under a President Biden.

At a similar point in 2016, warning lights were flashing for a Trump upset over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Now, it seems to be all systems go for a 2020 Democratic blue wave.

Flashback to where the race stood five days out, on November 2, 2016: Â According to RealClearPolitics, Hillary Clinton then had an aggregate lead of 1.3 points in the national vote (she won by 2.1 points, but of course lost in enough states to lose the Electoral College). In the no-toss-up map, Clinton held a slim 66-point lead (up from eight the day before) in the race to the 270 votes needed to secure the presidency in America. In the battleground/toss-up states according to RCP (Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida), Clinton had a 1.8-point lead but was actually losing two of them Ohio and Florida. The Senate map without toss-ups being counted to the party leading in the polls was 51-49 in favor of the Republicans (they ended up winning 52-48). The generic house race was 3.0 points in favor of the Democrats.

Over at FiveThirtyEight at this point in 2016, the picture was similar. With polls weighted for quality, Clinton led in the national race by 2.9 points (and was given a 66.2 per cent chance to win) Â and the generic ballot was 3.1 points in favor of the Democrats. The big difference: the Senate was viewed by FiveThirtyEight as having a 64.3 per cent chance of being controlled by Democrats.

How does that compare to right now? Biden's lead and the lead for the Democrats in the Senate and House is much more robust. RCP has Biden with a 7.7-point lead and this is with many higher quality polls being paused so that they can instead provide a final forecast. That's nearly six times greater than at this point in 2016.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/2020-polls-trump-pull-another-155921662.html

Without a doubt this is what the polling data says.

 

 

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1 hour ago, Golfboy said:

He was campaigning for the Senate in Nebraska and Iowa, dumbass.  Trump has both states locked up for himself.

Slo Joe is losing Minnesota.  

 

No, he was going after the weird 1 electoral college vote (by congressional district) that will likely go for Biden.

 

Maine and Nebraska are outliers in not being completely "winner take all."

 

There are scenarios when the race could come down to one EC vote.

 

Bill

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2 minutes ago, kfools said:

And these polls are scientific correct?

 

The best Propaganda money can buy...

 

 

"...this is a Democratic Polling Firm... this is Legit Methodology..."

- Ramone Madcow -

 

Ha!

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1 minute ago, kfools said:

And these polls are scientific correct?

We'll all find out next week. Until then we're just a bunch of partisan guys bullshitting about it.

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