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New CDC Figures Show Fauci’s Dishonest COVID-19 Projections Were Garbage

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https://www.redstate.com/michael_thau/2020/05/23/842684/

 

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New CDC Figures Show Fauci’s Dishonest COVID-19 Projections Were Garbage


by Michael Thau


… snip …


In case you hadn’t heard, Matt Margolis over at PJ Media is reporting that the CDC now estimates the case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19 to be only .4 percent. As Margolis points out, that’s much lower than the numbers used to frighten us into these lockdowns. But there are a few factors he doesn’t mention that demonstratively show we were unspeakably deceived rather than merely the victims of some disastrous but ultimately honest mistake.


The CFR is the death rate restricted to just those cases in which someone with symptoms had a test confirming they were infected. Since it factors in neither asymptomatic cases nor unconfirmed symptomatic ones, it’s going to substantially overstate the infection fatality rate (IFR), which is the rate among the totality of all those infected.


And, of course, it’s the IFR which represents the odds a random person who contracts the virus has of dying. The CFR, on the other hand, isn’t really of any interest at if you’re just a normal person trying to understand how dire a threat we’re facing. It gets massively skewed by the over-representation of serious cases among those who get tested and because it doesn’t factor in asymptomatic infections at all.


Moreover, the skewing isn’t even uniform. Its extent depends upon the availability of tests and the polices in place concerning when they’re to be given. Both of which vary between different localities and even in the same one at different times.


The CDC is also now estimating that only 65% of those who contract the COVID-19 virus actually wind up with any symptoms. That means the IFR will be at most 65% of the CFR since the latter is only counting symptomatic cases. That puts COVID-19’s fatality rate at below .26%. But, given that testing has been relatively rare even among those who show symptoms, it’s bound to be substantially lower.


Margolis says that IFR will actually be .26%. But that calculation depends on assuming that everyone who caught the virus and developed symptoms was tested, which is clearly not even close to true. The .26% figure he cites is, at best, an upper limit on the IFR, which is actually bound to be at least several times lower.


… snip …


The flu’s IFR is estimated to be around .1%. As we noted above, the CDC is now saying that even COVID-19’s CFR is only .4%. And they’re now citing a percentage for asymptomatic cases which implies that the virus’s actual lethality is several times lower than .26%. Moreover, as Margolis pointed out in a decidedly useful earlier column, at least 3 major research studies have concluded that COVID-19 has around the same IFR as the flu.


None of this even factors in the preponderance of reasons guaranteeing that COVID-19’s U.S. death tally is itself being massively inflated. The bottom line is that Fauci’s claim that COVID-19 is “10 times more lethal” than the flu was total garbage.


But the worst part is that we’ve known for a while, with absolute certainty, that he never believed a word of it himself. In case you hadn’t heard, he made sure to let his peers know he wasn’t dumb enough to believe the garbage he was about to start peddling to us beforehand.


As first reported by Sharyl Attkisson, Fauci published an article addressed to his fellow researchers at the esteemed New England Journal of Medicine’s website on February 28. And, it not only contained a quite different take on the threat COVID-19 posed than the one he would soon start pushing on the American public. He even explained exactly why the stats he would go on to spend the next month terrorizing us with were bogus!


[Fauci’s article is dated March 26, which is the date cited by Attkisson. But archived copies reveal that sometime on April 3rd after around 10:30 am, which was a few days after her piece appeared, a note was added saying it was initially published on the journal’s website February 28. So presumably March 26 represents when it first appeared in the print edition.]


Fauci notes that the frighteningly high fatality numbers we were hearing for COVID-19 were sure to be grossly inflated because “the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases.”


Hence, Fauci explained to his fellow experts:

 

Quote

The overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%).


Choosing a more brazen liar to lead the nation’s response to COVID-19 would have probably been impossible.


It’s long past time these suicidal measures Fauci has gaslit the nation into adopting were ended. But it’s also time that we faced the ugly truth that the deception was intentional.


Fauci pushed the entire country into an economic shutdown and got most of us confined to our homes by blatantly lying about COVID-19’s deadliness. He didn’t believe a word of the scare-mongering BS he peddled to us. And he didn’t dare try to palm it off on his peers. It’s right there in black-and-white in the pages of the New England Journal of Medicine.


So, if you’re still inclined to defend the man who terrorized America into accepting a suicidal abridgment of our most basic rights with his lies, your problem isn’t COVID-19.


It’s Stockholm Syndrome.

 

 

WOW!   Heads should roll.   Fauci and the leftists who promoted this lie should be held criminally liable for the TRILLIONS of dollars this has already cost the country.    Now which of you snowflake leftists wants to defend Fauci and the lockdown?   Any of you stupid enough to try?

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3 hours ago, XavierOnassis said:

People trust Fauci far more than Trump, and will continue to do so.

 

Notice that XO didn't dispute anything in the OP. 

 

Notice that he didn't even try to claim Fauci and the MSM didn't lie to the public about the virus' IFR.  

 

That's how low the left has sunk in it's TDS.

 

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3 hours ago, XavierOnassis said:

People trust Fauci far more than Trump, and will continue to do so.

 

4 minutes ago, BeAChooser said:

 

Notice that XO didn't dispute anything in the OP. 

 

Notice that he didn't even try to claim Fauci and the MSM didn't lie to the public about the virus' IFR.  

 

That's how low the left has sunk in it's TDS.

 

 

A lot of hype, must be an election coming up.

 

Fauci.....Globalist Bill Gates stooge....

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3 hours ago, XavierOnassis said:

People trust Fauci far more than Trump, and will continue to do so.

EYmKbuRX0AABV0V.jpg

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Just now, nuckin futz said:

EYmKbuRX0AABV0V.jpg

Donald J. Trump lives in your mind rent free. You can't evict him. EVER!

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9 hours ago, BeAChooser said:

https://www.redstate.com/michael_thau/2020/05/23/842684/

 

 

WOW!   Heads should roll.   Fauci and the leftists who promoted this lie should be held criminally liable for the TRILLIONS of dollars this has already cost the country.    Now which of you snowflake leftists wants to defend Fauci and the lockdown?   Any of you stupid enough to try?

Yeah, those 100K Americans dead in less than 3 months was all a tRUMP HOAX?

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https://summit.news/2020/05/25/500-doctors-write-to-trump-warning-lockdown-will-cause-more-deaths/
 

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500 Doctors Write To Trump Warning Lockdown Will Cause More Deaths


“The millions of casualties of a continued shutdown will be hiding in plain sight.”


by Steve Watson


More than 500 doctors have added their names to a letter to President Trump urging him to end the lockdown, warning that it will cause more death than the coronavirus itself.


In the letter ( https://www.scribd.com/document/462319362/A-Doctor-a-Day-Letter-Signed?campaign=VigLink&ad_group=xxc1xx&source=hp_affiliate&medium=affiliate ), sent last week, doctors described the lockdown as a “mass casualty incident”.


“We are alarmed at what appears to be the lack of consideration for the future health of our patients. The downstream health effects of deteriorating a level are being massively under-estimated and under-reported. This is an order of magnitude error,” it states.


Written by Simone Gold, a California emergency medical specialist, and further signed by hundreds of doctors, the letter adds “The millions of casualties of a continued shutdown will be hiding in plain sight, but they will be called alcoholism, homelessness, suicide, heart attack, stroke, or kidney failure.”


“In youths it will be called financial instability, unemployment, despair, drug addiction, unplanned pregnancies, poverty, and abuse,” the letter further urges.


It notes that “Suicide hotline phone calls have increased 600%,” while sales of alcohol have increased 300% to 600%.


“Because the harm is diffuse, there are those that hold it does not exist. We, the undersigned, know otherwise,” the letter concludes.


While globalists have urged that lockdowns need to continue, medical and economic experts across the board in multiple countries are warning that the loss of life will be much greater than that caused directly by the virus itself, if lockdowns are not scrapped.


A leaked study from inside the German Ministry of the Interior has found that the impact of the country’s lockdown could end up killing more people than the coronavirus due to victims of other serious illnesses not receiving treatment.


A Guardian analysis has found that there have been thousands of excess deaths of people at home in the UK due to the lockdown.


Professor Richard Sullivan also warned that there will be more excess cancer deaths in the UK than total coronavirus deaths due to people’s access to screenings and treatment being restricted as a result of the lockdown. Physicians in the US are issuing the same warnings over cancer screening.


Sullivan’s comments were echoed by Peter Nilsson, a professor of internal medicine and epidemiology at Lund University, who said, “It’s so important to understand that the deaths of COVID-19 will be far less than the deaths caused by societal lockdown when the economy is ruined.”


In addition, new figures from the UK’s Office of National Statistics show that the number of deaths from flu and pneumonia is three times higher than the total number of coronavirus deaths this year.


A data analyst consortium in South Africa asserts that the economic consequences of the country’s lockdown will lead to 29 times more people dying than the coronavirus itself.


Experts have also warned that there will be 1.4 million deaths from untreated TB infections due to the lockdown.

 


Seriously ... do any of you lockdown supporters really want to continue to defend it?

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12 hours ago, XavierOnassis said:

People trust Fauci far more than Trump, and will continue to do so.

 

8 hours ago, BeAChooser said:

 

Notice that XO didn't dispute anything in the OP. 

 

Notice that he didn't even try to claim Fauci and the MSM didn't lie to the public about the virus' IFR.  

 

That's how low the left has sunk in it's TDS.

 

Basically, Fauci supports the democratic agenda to completely destroy the economy and XO will listen to that no matter how many facts you throw at her.

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9 hours ago, tunafish said:

Donald J. Trump lives in your mind rent free. You can't evict him. EVER!

 

Wrong. Trump will get his eviction notice in November.

 

Bill

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2 hours ago, SpyCar said:

 

Wrong. Trump will get his eviction notice in November.

 

Bill

Try again buttercup.

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11 hours ago, LaughinAtLefty said:

 

 

A lot of hype, must be an election coming up.

 

Fauci.....Globalist Bill Gates stooge....

 

Boy have you lost your mind, Flyboy.

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3 hours ago, Str8tEdge said:

 

Basically, Fauci supports the democratic agenda to completely destroy the economy...

 

There is no "agenda" you stupic fucking nigger.  The GOP has closed states as well.  Are they part of the "agenda" or tying to save the lives of their citizens?

 

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4 minutes ago, Pengwin said:

 

There is no "agenda" you stupic fucking nigger.  The GOP has closed states as well.  Are they part of the "agenda" or tying to save the lives of their citizens?

 

Bullshit. Vulnerable people could have been protected without trashing the economy. 
 

You want as much death and destruction as possible in hopes Biden wins. 

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3 minutes ago, Str8tEdge said:

Bullshit. Vulnerable people could have been protected without trashing the economy. 
 

You want as much death and destruction as possible in hopes Biden wins. 

 

1. No.

 

2. Up to a point but what I want is for the U.S. (and dipshits like you) to grow the fuck up and start thinking someone other than yourselves.  If a million or two Americans have to die to get some godamned common sense again, so be it.

 

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50 minutes ago, Pengwin said:

 

1. No.

 

2. Up to a point but what I want is for the U.S. (and dipshits like you) to grow the fuck up and start thinking someone other than yourselves.  If a million or two Americans have to die to get some godamned common sense again, so be it.

 

Yes. Easily. 

 

2. Common sense? 😆 48 out of 50 states had roughy the same amount of cases and deaths as NY and NJ. 

 

Common sense would be realizing most states didn't need the same precautions. 

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54 minutes ago, Str8tEdge said:

Common sense would be realizing most states didn't need the same precautions. 

 

They will soon, and that's on their governors and the Trump Administration.

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10 hours ago, Pengwin said:

 

They will soon, and that's on their governors and the Trump Administration.

They've been open for weeks.....

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14 hours ago, drvoke said:

Photos: Dr. Anthony Fauci's career under 6 US presidents

 

What do you think that proves?  

 

Thanks to Trump we know that Bush was Deep State, part of the Uniparty, and one step removed from the Clintons.

 

And here's picture proof, since you like pictures ...

 

clinton-bush.jpg

 

usa-politics_-1.jpg?quality=90&strip=all

 

And knowing what I know (what Bush had to know), there isn't enough money in the world to make me stand between these two ...

 

2465005_1280x720.jpg

 

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2 minutes ago, BeAChooser said:

 

What do you think that proves?  

 

Thanks to Trump we know that Bush was Deep State, part of the Uniparty, and one step removed from the Clintons.

 

 

 

Indulging in a little hindsight revisionist history, I see. What I remember was cons waving their little flags around like monkeys when YOUR boy sent Americans into an illegitimate war. Meanwhile, we were calling BS and protesting. Bush had the most lockstep party in U.S. history, and his gullible followers were burning their Dixie Chick CDs. Idiots. We live through this pattern over and over again.

 

 

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39 minutes ago, drvoke said:

Indulging in a little hindsight revisionist history, I see. What I remember was cons waving their little flags around like monkeys when YOUR boy sent Americans into an illegitimate war. Meanwhile, we were calling BS and protesting.

 

Oh yeah ... the war that DemocRATS were for before they were against it.   Don't you realize, snowflake, that Bush was ONLY a placeholder ... the guy meant to keep the seat warm till the next DemocRAT took over?   Hindsight can be wonderful when information comes out you didn't know about at the time.   It can make actions at the time finally make sense.   Now we know why Bush was such a *compassionate* conservative.   Now we know why he let Clinton and the DNC escape from serious criminal activities ... like for example, accepting millions of dollars in campaign money from the Communist Chinese.   It's why Bush was the "Move On" guy where the Clintons were concerned.  In fact, he coined the term then the democRATS adopted it and started a whole organization based on it.    No, drvoke, you can't fool us any longer.   We KNOW what Bush was now.   That's why he and his family are not persona non grata amongst the people that support President Trump and his efforts to drain the swamp.   And like it not ... that's happening.    

 

ec30b6171c3857df54a28c145a3fd3e9.png

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