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dahur

Texas Early Voting--The Final Numbers

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Monday Nov 07, 2016 · 7:23 AM MST
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With election day almost upon us, we have a little time to take a short break from GOTV efforts and look at how we did in early voting.

Here are the numbers for Texas’ 15 most populous counties:

2008

2012

2016

Harris (Houston)

678,312

700,216

882,580

Dallas

477,228

415,7435

512,168

Tarrant (Ft Worth)

431,799

387,350

480,936

Bexar (San Antonio)

375,784

348,326

436,731

Travis (Austin)

282,848

222,913

357,595

Collin (DFW)

211,637

213,447

289,561

Denton

166,927

163,082

228,928

El Paso

110,132

93,558

142,453

Ft Bend (SW Houston)

148,450

153,090

201,655

Hidalgo (McAllen)

84,650

99,647

132,424

Montgomery (N Houston)

96,982

114,092

145,264

Williamson (Round Rock)

108,077

100,472

153,286

Galveston

71,600

77,762

94,088

Nueces (Corpus Christi)

62,715

56,595

67,099

Cameron (Brownsville)

39,210

42,103

61,339

Cumulative EV

3,346,351

3,188,396

4,186,107

Total Votes (ev & mail in)

3,556,156

3,407,497

4,497,431

Vote % of Registered Voters

42.03%

39.38%

46.08%

So, let’s break these numbers down a little bit.

Overall among these counties, early voting is up 31% over 2012. This, combined with record registration of 15 million statewide, would appear to be good news for Democrats.

Further good news becomes apparent when we see that among blue counties, the EV total was 2,525,290, while in the red counties it was 1,459,162. (I’m counting Harris, Dallas, Bexar, Travis, El Paso, Hidalgo, and Cameron counties as blue, with Ft. Bend a tossup).

The good news is, however, tempered by the turnout percentages, which are 40% in the blue counties and 47% in the red counties. Turnout has been especially poor in heavily Latino El Paso and Cameron counties at 35% and 32% respectively. But it should be noted that Latinos tend to prefer voting on Election Day, and that the turnout in more Anglo blue counties includes Harris at 44%, Dallas at 43%, and Travis at 52%.

As far as the percentage increase in EV over 2012, the largest are in Travis (60%), Williamson (53%), and El Paso (52%). The increase in turnout was just about even in blue and red counties (31% and 32% respectively).

So what does all this mean? Well, it appears that, at least in the population centers, there is no lack of enthusiasm among GOP voters. But it looks like Dem voters just as enthusiastic . And it also looks like we’re going to have to really work at last-minute GOTV efforts among Latinos, which is what I’ll be doing after I finish this up. And of course GOTV among all our voters, particularly in US House District 23, where we have a very good chance of picking up a seat, and District 1, where our chances are much smaller but better than zero.

So, in summary, EV turnout in Texas has been very good, up substantially from 2012. While high turnout usually favors Democrats, there has been high turnout in traditional GOP counties, and the Latino turnout has been disappointing so far. With about 54% of registered voters having not been to the polls yet, GOTV is, as always, critical.

In less than 48 hours we’ll know how this all plays out. In the meantime, if you’ll excuse me, I’ve got some phone calls to make...

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/11/7/1592455/-Texas-Early-Voting-Final-Numbers?detail=email&link_id=1&can_id=ff8f653e864242f113a1736117d2e25f&source=email-texas-early-voting-final-numbers&email_referrer=texas-early-voting-final-numbers&email_subject=texas-early-voting-final-numbers

 

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LOL...and the moon will fall in my backyard. And the leprechauns will hand out their gold to everybody. And unicorns were found in South America. And the lochness monster took a selfie of himself.

And trump will win. :D

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Trump has zero chance of carrying California. Even he has admitted that by not bothering to campaign there.

Because Hispanics and Blacks have more children than Anglos it is only a matter of time before Texas is a reliably blue state.

By 20202 for sure, perhaps by 2016,

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Hillary has zero chance in Texas. Trump will take Texas easily and he'll get California.

Hey douche bag, I thought the election was rigged.

 

Soon, Texas will be Blue and the GOP will be FUCKED! One more thing Bitch...lube your ass!

 

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Say hello to your welcoming committee Tex Bitch. Por favor no violen mi ano!

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