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CLINTON AHEAD 10!


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In a poll that oversamples democrats by 27% Republicans and 45% democrats. AHAAHAHAHAAHAA.... Podesta is such a tool. Thanks Wikileaks for exposing the DNC as the piece of shit they are. Better worry democrats, word is there is some evidence on the exact fake multi-vote schemes you will be using.

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In a poll that oversamples democrats by 27% Republicans and 45% democrats. AHAAHAHAHAAHAA.... Podesta is such a tool. Thanks Wikileaks for exposing the DNC as the piece of shit they are. Better worry democrats, word is there is some evidence on the exact fake multi-vote schemes you will be using.

 

Same exact excuse you losers used in 2012. EXACT same one.

How'd that Election turn out?

You're panicking because you know it's over.

The fact you keep touting info from 2 known criminals proves it.

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In a poll that oversamples democrats by 27% Republicans and 45% democrats. AHAAHAHAHAAHAA.... Podesta is such a tool. Thanks Wikileaks for exposing the DNC as the piece of shit they are. Better worry democrats, word is there is some evidence on the exact fake multi-vote schemes you will be using.

Oversampeling is done internally on a specific demographic for media buys. Moron

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In a poll that oversamples democrats by 27% Republicans and 45% democrats. AHAAHAHAHAAHAA.... Podesta is such a tool. Thanks Wikileaks for exposing the DNC as the piece of shit they are. Better worry democrats, word is there is some evidence on the exact fake multi-vote schemes you will be using.

Hillary%20Bill%20WH_zpsduvqrkma.jpg

 

Clinton leads Trump, two new polls show

 

Washington (CNN)Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters -- but two new polls diverge on the size of her lead.

 

Clinton is 11 percentage points ahead of Trump, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll out Sunday.

 

An ABC News/Washington Post poll, meanwhile, pegs her lead at 4 points.

In the NBC poll, Clinton has 48% support compared to 37% for Trump, 7% for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% for the Green Party's Jill Stein. In a two-way race, Clinton leads 51% to 41%.

 

The NBC poll shows Trump could have paid a steep price for the "Access Hollywood" tape that showed him bragging about sexually assaulting women, which was followed by nine women claiming specific instances of Trump groping or kissing them without consent.

In a head-to-head with Trump, Clinton leads by 20 points among women -- while Trump is ahead by just 3 points with men.

 

32% say the video disqualified Trump from being president and that he should drop out of the race, while 53% disagree.

 

Clinton's debate performances have helped, too, the NBC poll found. Thirty-one percent of those surveyed said the two debates have made them more likely to vote for Clinton, while 14% say the debates make them more likely to back Trump.

 

The NBC poll shows voters' distaste with Trump doesn't extend to all Republicans: 46% of those polled say they want a Democrats to control Congress, while 44% say they favor a Republican-led Congress.

 

In the ABC poll, meanwhile, Clinton has 47% support to Trump's 43%, with Johnson at 5% and Stein at 2%.

 

That's little change from an ABC/Washington Post poll conducted just before the first debate and before the controversy over Trump's taped remarks about sexually assaulting women, which had Clinton's lead at 46% to 44%.

 

However, the poll did find some shifting dynamics in the race. Enthusiasm among Trump supporters is down to 79%, while Clinton's is up to 83% -- erasing the 10-point advantage in that measure that Trump had before the first debate. 68% say Trump probably has made unwanted advances toward women.

 

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/16/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-presidential-polls/

 

 

 

ABC News: Clinton 52% - Trump 29%

CNN/ORC: Clinton 52% - Trump 39%

Bloomberg: Clinton 52% - Trump 38%

CBS: Clinton 63% - Trump 26%

GWU: Clinton 62% - Trump 27%

 

 

(N=5,000) Average of above 5 Polls

 

Clinton: 281/5 = 56.2%

Trump: 159/5 = 31.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

the polls are going to be wrong

 

trump will win

LEAD WILL FLOAT

Same exact excuse you losers used in 2012. EXACT same one.

How'd that Election turn out?

You're panicking because you know it's over.

The fact you keep touting info from 2 known criminals proves it.

LMAO!! Touting a child molesting Putin butt boy communist in Ecuador, and in exile for a source.

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ABC News: Clinton 52% - Trump 29%

CNN/ORC: Clinton 52% - Trump 39%

Bloomberg: Clinton 52% - Trump 38%

CBS: Clinton 63% - Trump 26%

GWU: Clinton 62% - Trump 27%

 

 

(N=5,000) Average of above 5 Polls

 

Clinton: 281/5 = 56.2%

Trump: 159/5 = 31.8%\

 

progressive_threat_meter2.jpg

 

 

New Podesta Email Exposes Democrat National Socialist Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"

Earlier this morning we wrote about the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC / Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary.

 

Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered democrats.

Of course, while democrats may enjoy a slight registration advantage of a couple of points, it is nowhere near the 9 points reflected in this latest poll.

"METHODOLOGY – This ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 874 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats - Republicans - Independents."

Meanwhile, we also pointed out that with huge variances in preference across demographics one can easily "rig" a poll by over indexing to one group vs. another. As a quick example, the ABC / WaPo poll found that Hillary enjoys a 79-point advantage over Trump with black voters. Therefore, even a small "oversample" of black voters of 5% could swing the overall poll by 3 full points. Moreover, the pollsters don't provide data on the demographic mix of their polls which makes it impossible to "fact check" the bias...convenient.

2016.10.23%20-%20ABC%20Poll%203_0.JPG

 

Now, for all of you out there who still aren't convinced that the polls are "adjusted", we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in detail, exactly how to "manufacture" the desired data. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize what we get out of our media polling."

The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations. In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:

I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.

For Florida, the report recommends "consistently monitoring" samples to makes sure they're "not too old" and "has enough African American and Hispanic voters." Meanwhile, "independent" voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.

Research, microtargeting & polling projects

- Over-sample Hispanics

- Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)

- Over-sample the Native American population

Meanwhile, it's suggested that national polls over sample "key districts / regions" and "ethnic" groups "as needed."

- Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old, and that it has enough African American and Hispanic voters to reflect the state.

- On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.

 

- General election benchmark, 800 sample, with potential over samples in key districts/regions

- Benchmark polling in targeted races, with ethnic over samples as needed

- Targeting tracking polls in key races, with ethnic over samples as needed

 

2016.10.23%20-%20Oversample%201_0.jpg

And that's how you manufacture a 12-point lead for your chosen candidate and effectively chill the vote of your opposition.

 

Here is the full report of "Polling & Media Recommendations" from "The Atlas Project."

 

 

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