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Democrats Have An Excellent Chance of Winning the Senate For Hillary


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62-70% chance as of 2:51 AM October 5, 2016

 

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast#now

 

Nate Silver has 3 models

On left side of page click on :

1. Polls Plus Forecast

What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov.8

2. Polls Only Forecast

What polls alone tell us about Nov 8

3. Now- Cast

Which party would win the senate if the election were held today

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