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538 Now Calling Race for Trump


Golfboy
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This is why ES ran away. It wasn't log ago, my little bitch was touting Nate Silver saying Hillary had a 97% chance of winning, and that the race was over.

 

Trump now leads. 55.3 to Hillary's 44.6

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=mobilebar&v=1#now

 

 

 

This is why ES will always be my bitch

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The drudge report has a link to a daily mail piece which shows over a dozen surveys. Trump wins all of them except a CNN survey which was 27 points skewed to the left to begin with. Hillaryious. Even Michael Moore admits Trump won:

Michael Moore ✔ @MMFlint It's over. Trump, the egoist, the racist, the narcissist, the liar, "won." We all lost. His numbers will go up. She told the truth. So what. Michael Moore ✔ @MMFlint Pro-Hillary gloaters doing end-zone dance again when still on 50-yd line. U MUST get it in your head TRUMP IS GONNA WIN and act accordingly!

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As an irredeemable deplorable, I am amazed that any woman or black,

regardless how fucking stupid they are, are even considering voting

for hillary, the criminal perjurer, obstructer of investigation, a criminal

destroying evidence, and criminally taking bribe money for access to govt.

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In the real world....

 

Clinton Won The Debate, Which Means Shes Likely To Gain In The Polls

538

By Nate Silver

SEP 27, 2016

(excerpts)

Democrats woke up on Monday to a spate of bad polls for Hillary Clinton, which brought Donald Trump to perhaps his closest position yet in the Electoral College. They had reason to go to bed feeling a lot better. Clinton bested Trump in the first presidential debate according to a variety of metrics, and the odds are that she'll gain in head-to-head polls over Trump in the coming days.

 

Start with a CNN poll of debate-watchers, which showed that 62 percent of voters thought Clinton won the debate compared to 27 percent for Trump -- a 35-point margin. The CNN survey historically correlates fairly well with movement in the post-election polls. On the mitigating side, as I mentioned, CNN's poll had a Democratic-leaning sample. (On the other hand, if Democrats were more interested in watching the debate, that isn't necessarily a bad thing for Clinton since shes had trouble engaging her base.) Also, a separate post-debate poll from Public Policy Polling found Clinton winning by a narrower margin, 52-40. And historically, its the challenging partys candidate, and not the incumbent's, who gains after the first debate.

 

But there are several other reasons to think Clinton could get a bounce, and perhaps a relatively meaningful one. In addition to the polls, a variety of post-debate indicators implied a Clinton win, including focus groups, betting markets, and the post-debate coverage on television networks. The TV coverage matters because the pundits reaction doesnt always match that of voters in instant polls, and its sometimes the TV spin that wins out.

 

While Trumps lack of preparation could also potentially cause him problems in the second and third debates, he showed off some of his worst qualities on Monday night, appearing to be the weaker leader than Clinton and less presidential than her, according to the CNN poll.

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Yes, good old nate who last month said the race was over because Hillary had a 95.1% chance of winning.

You quoted Silver in your OP. Now you are dismissing him.

 

You can't have it both ways, you braindead buffoon!

 

Hillary is going to win.....he was right about that.

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The Problem Isn't

that we've tried and tried

to paint Hillary as

an unethical, corrupt,

lying, criminal dirtbag

- every brainwashed and bamboozled

rightwingnut 'knows' that.

The problem is that her

supporters are way too smart

and know too much - so

they just don't believe our

fraudulent half-witted propaganda.

Indeed!

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This is why ES ran away. It wasn't log ago, my little bitch was touting Nate Silver saying Hillary had a 97% chance of winning, and that the race was over.

 

Trump now leads. 55.3 to Hillary's 44.6

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=mobilebar&v=1#now

 

 

 

This is why ES will always be my bitch

YOU ARE FUCKING LIAR,..........BITCH!!! LMAO!!

 

 

NEXT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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