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No one has ever lost a U.S. Presidential election after achieving Hillary Clinton’s current polling lead

By Bill Palmer | August 29, 2016 | 39
hillary-clinton-smile-150x150.jpg

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Hillary Clinton is still two days away from September, so she might want to hold her breath for just a little bit longer. But if she gets through the next forty-eight hours and she still holds the kind of lead in national polls that she currently holds right now, history says that she’ll win the election easily. In fact, in the history of presidential polling, no one has ever lost under the circumstances she’s about to find herself in.

As of today, Hillary holds about a seven point average lead across the average of major recent national polls (at this point the consistently absurd outlier from the LA Times has to be thrown out as invalid data). Seven points at the start of September doesn’t exactly sound like a blowout, but when placed in historical comparison, it’s a remarkably strong position – and one which hasn’t proven to be beatable.

Presidential polling as we know it didn’t begin until the 1936 election, but even in those early and less sophisticated efforts, the polls ended up being surprisingly accurate, rarely being off by more than what is still considered to be normal margins of error. Throughout all of those elections, any time a candidate has held a seven point lead against a non-incumbent opponent at the start of September, that candidate has won easily. In other words, since polling began, literally no one has ever lost a United States presidential election under the specific circumstances which Hillary Clinton is currently in.

In fact the only time any candidate has ever lost after heading into September with a lead this large was Thomas Dewey in 1948. However he was running against the incumbent President Harry Truman, who was in a better position to rectify his popularity by using the power of the office to get things right toward the end of his first term. Donald Trump, being a non-incumbent, has no such ability.

That’s not to say that Hillary Clinton has already won; it’s still only (two days away from) September and plenty can still happen between now and Election Day. But for those wondering why she hasn’t been able to open up more than a seven point lead over Trump even as he continues to stumble in nearly every was possible, it turns out seven points is quite a historically large and dominant lead at this point on the calendar, and one which tends not to reverse itself.

 

http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/no-one-has-ever-lost-to-a-non-incumbent-after-having-a-september-lead-as-big-as-hillary-clinton-has/25909/#

 

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No one has ever lost a U.S. Presidential election after achieving Hillary Clinton’s current polling lead

By Bill Palmer | August 29, 2016 | 39
hillary-clinton-smile-150x150.jpg

4058
SHARES

Hillary Clinton is still two days away from September, so she might want to hold her breath for just a little bit longer. But if she gets through the next forty-eight hours and she still holds the kind of lead in national polls that she currently holds right now, history says that she’ll win the election easily. In fact, in the history of presidential polling, no one has ever lost under the circumstances she’s about to find herself in.

As of today, Hillary holds about a seven point average lead across the average of major recent national polls (at this point the consistently absurd outlier from the LA Times has to be thrown out as invalid data). Seven points at the start of September doesn’t exactly sound like a blowout, but when placed in historical comparison, it’s a remarkably strong position – and one which hasn’t proven to be beatable.

Presidential polling as we know it didn’t begin until the 1936 election, but even in those early and less sophisticated efforts, the polls ended up being surprisingly accurate, rarely being off by more than what is still considered to be normal margins of error. Throughout all of those elections, any time a candidate has held a seven point lead against a non-incumbent opponent at the start of September, that candidate has won easily. In other words, since polling began, literally no one has ever lost a United States presidential election under the specific circumstances which Hillary Clinton is currently in.

In fact the only time any candidate has ever lost after heading into September with a lead this large was Thomas Dewey in 1948. However he was running against the incumbent President Harry Truman, who was in a better position to rectify his popularity by using the power of the office to get things right toward the end of his first term. Donald Trump, being a non-incumbent, has no such ability.

That’s not to say that Hillary Clinton has already won; it’s still only (two days away from) September and plenty can still happen between now and Election Day. But for those wondering why she hasn’t been able to open up more than a seven point lead over Trump even as he continues to stumble in nearly every was possible, it turns out seven points is quite a historically large and dominant lead at this point on the calendar, and one which tends not to reverse itself.

 

http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/no-one-has-ever-lost-to-a-non-incumbent-after-having-a-september-lead-as-big-as-hillary-clinton-has/25909/#

 

 

 

 

 

She wins, America loses. And I'm a Democrat.

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No one has ever lost a U.S. Presidential election after achieving Hillary Clinton’s current polling lead

By Bill Palmer | August 29, 2016 | 39

 

hillary-clinton-smile-150x150.jpg

 

 

Hillary Clinton is still two days away from September, so she might want to hold her breath for just a little bit longer. But if she gets through the next forty-eight hours and she still holds the kind of lead in national polls that she currently holds right now, history says that she’ll win the election easily. In fact, in the history of presidential polling, no one has ever lost und

Jimmy Carter.

carter-reagan-e1347157660612.jpg

Feeling stupid now, dumbass?

This is Hilarious considering I kicked ES' ass with this same data, when he made the same claims.

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Was the poll taken after this:

 

 

 

Clinton tells FBI she could not recall all briefings on preserving documents

 

Julia Edwards and Jonathan Allen

 

34 mins ago

 

WASHINGTON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Hillary Clinton, under questioning by federal investigators over whether she had been briefed on how to preserve government records as she was about to leave the State Department, said she had suffered a concussion, was working part-time and could not recall every briefing she received.

 

Clinton, the Democratic Party's presidential candidate, raised the health scare during her 3-1/2-hour interview with the Federal Bureau of Investigation and Justice Department prosecutors on July 2, according to an FBI summary released on Friday.

 

Besides the 11-page interview summary, the FBI also released other details of its investigation into her use of an unauthorized private email system while running the State Department in which it concluded she mishandled classified information but not in a way that warranted a criminal prosecution.

 

Clinton told investigators she could not recall getting any briefings on how to handle classified information or comply with laws governing the preservation of federal records, the summary of her interview shows.

 

"However, in December of 2012, Clinton suffered a concussion and then around the New Year had a blood clot," the FBI's summary said. "Based on her doctor's advice, she could only work at State for a few hours a day and could not recall every briefing she received."

The concussion was widely reported at the time, and Republicans have since used it to attack the 68-year-old candidate's health in a way her staff have said is unfounded.

 

Clinton, who is challenging Republican Donald Trump for the White House in the Nov. 8 election, has been dogged for more than a year by the fallout from her decision to use an unauthorized private email account run from the basement of her Chappaqua, New York, home.

 

Republicans have repeatedly attacked Clinton over the issue, helping drive opinion polls that show many U.S. voters doubt her trustworthiness.

 

Trump has repeatedly used the issue as part of his claims that Clinton is dishonest, and his campaign on Friday said the notes from the FBI report reinforced "her tremendously bad judgment and dishonesty."

 

Clinton has said that in hindsight she regretted using a private email system while secretary of state.

 

According to the report, Clinton told the FBI that she did not set up a private email server to sidestep the law requiring her to keep her business communications a matter of public record.

 

At least one federal judge is examining whether this was the case as part of a lawsuit against the State Department concerning public access to Clinton's government records, which the U.S. government said it had no access to in response to requests from members of the public.

 

The documents also show that Clinton contacted former Secretary of State Colin Powell in 2009 to ask about his use of a personal BlackBerry phone.

 

In his reply to Clinton via email, Powell told Clinton to "be very careful" because the work-related emails she sent on her BlackBerry could become public record.

 

"I got around it all by not saying much and not using systems that captured the data," Powell said, according to the summary.

 

After her use of a private email system became public knowledge in March 2015, Clinton repeatedly said she did not use it to send or receive classified information. The government forbids handling such information outside secure channels.

 

The FBI has since concluded Clinton was wrong to say that: At least 81 email threads contained information that was classified at the time, although the final number may be more than 2,000, the report says. Some of the emails appear to include discussion of planned future attacks by unmanned U.S. military drones, the FBI report shows.

 

"CLINTON believed the classification level of future drone strikes depended on the context," the FBI's interview summary said. The U.S. government requires that military plans be classified.

 

The FBI released its report on Friday afternoon before the Labor Day holiday weekend, a time many Americans are preparing to travel.

 

State Department spokesman John Kirby said he would not comment on the FBI's findings because the department "does not have full insight into the FBI's investigation."

 

He declined to say whether State Department officials still discussed the planning of future attacks using drones in unclassified emails.

 

"I'm not going to speak to past email practices," he said. "We trust State Department employees to use their best judgment when conveying sensitive information, taking into account a range of factors."

 

Spokesmen for Clinton did not respond to questions about the concussion and other aspects of the FBI's summary, but released a statement welcoming the summary's release.

 

"While her use of a single email account was clearly a mistake and she has taken responsibility for it, these materials make clear why the Justice Department believed there was no basis to move forward with this case," Brian Fallon, a campaign spokesman, said in a statement.

 

Some Republicans saw the files as confirming their belief that the Department of Justice should have prosecuted Clinton.

 

"These documents demonstrate Hillary Clinton's reckless and downright dangerous handling of classified information during her tenure as secretary of state," Paul Ryan, the Republican speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, said in a statement. "This is exactly why I have called for her to be denied access to classified information."

 

(Reporting by Eric Beech, Jonathan Allen, Ginger Gibson and Julia Edwards; Editing by Jonathan Oatis and Leslie Adler)

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"McCain's gonna win...!"

 

 

"Romney's gonna win...!"

 

 

"trump's gonna win...!"

 

 

:D snicker

^^ fucking tool got owned.

Didn't know about Jimmy Carter. lol-049.gif

No one gives a flying f*ck about e mails.

Sorry Draino, but Hillary's poll numbers say you're wrong.

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